Thursday, 28 October 2010

Shortening Prices

I thought I'd have a look at something completely different today.
and try find some horses that I believe would cut their SP odds in half In-Running.

Clonmel
16:15 Cool Quest
16:45 The Flying Dustman

Fontwell
15:30 Ports War
          Oncle Kid

Lingfield
14:40 Venetius
          Santefisio
          Woodcote Place
          Caprio
15:10 Mosqueras Romance
15:40 Western Pearl
          Some Sunny Day

Straford
15:20 Runshan
          Peut Etre Sivola

Wolverhampton
17:20 Cape Royal
17:50 Island Legend
          Ridley Didley
          Silver Prelude
          Dream Number
18:50 Desert Recluse
20:20 Mackintosh
20:50 Active Asset

Just a few to follow

Saturday, 23 October 2010

The new era..

I said changes were coming, and you'll start seeing them soon, starting with the overhaul of both this blog and my twitter which is @amanthatlays if anybody uses it.

Over the coming week the design of the blog will change to coincide with the new redesigned main website, twitter will also see the same graphical overhaul, leading up to the launch of the new site around the 10th November.

Currently the site is coming along fine, its mostly coding work thats needs to be done, the colour palette and design is virtually finished, time for all the back end stuff that will make it go like clockwork.

If anybody is familiar with vwar, you'll hopefully appreciate how I am modding it to record my results on the site, to be updated daily, instead of the monthly updated spreadsheet that could be downloaded. To get vwar working how I wanted it I've had to tinker with the coding and the admin side. but fingers crossed it should all go to plan!

Wednesday, 20 October 2010

Milan - Tottenham, what a game!

It needed a post!

I was down the gym on the treadmill watching Tottenham get demolished in the first half.
Yet Gareth Bale's hattrick was superb, though You'd think Milan would have picked him up a bit more after the first goal, seeing as they all come from virtually the same place!!

Friday, 15 October 2010

All the long nights..

All the long nights, all the spread sheets, all the race watching, the wait is nearly over, just finalising a few things and you'll see..

Yes I know I've not been around for a couple of weeks, but there is good reasons behind it which I will reveal very soon, I can't quite let the cat out of the bag just this second!

Though what I can say is I'm changing the way I run my tipster service, its been plodding along for months and months now, and its been more of a hobby, using my passion and my aquired knowledge to help others.

Though that will be changing over the next few weeks, and will be turned around more like a business, especially since going to uni fell through thanks to my tutor.

I now have the required hours in the day to put alot more into it than just hobby hours..
But don't worry I will come back to running this blog, but eventually it will be implemented into the bigger picture, along with getting my monthly subscriber newsletter back up and running and actually doing something with my twitter account, though that will need rebranding.

With my ongoing research from the 18 months I now believe I can consistantly produce profits from both backing and laying horses, and in the over/unders market for football, though football will come at a later date as I'm still collecting data and won't jump in head first to something I'm not 200% sure of.

AW racing is something that will come with more time as well, as I believe the AW is just glorified greyhound racing and it needs a different kind of horse analysis compared to anything over turf.

Also along side the changes I will actually try and write a proper blog, instead of what it has been...
no more literally just posting up times and names of horses, I'll try to actually write something engaging, and if anybody wants to bring a subject up for discussion then drop me a line and it can be discussed, argued, whatever, however...

Regards
Jay

Tuesday, 28 September 2010

A Quick Lay

Laying Conduct in the 17:30 Newbury @ 2.74
Laying Miss Molly Be Rude 17:45 Sedgefield @ 4.8

Small Update

Well hehe is the update I promised, over the last 6 days I've been working on a system I created ages ago (and left on the shelf) and been tweaking since until I was happy I could pull a month from any year and it would produce profits.

I'm pretty sure it does that now, during the research I covered 18 months, between 2005 and 2010, no 2 months in a row. Just to make sure it wasn't something backfitted.


Over the last 18 months I've not found one losing month, with the mimimum profit being 30 points a month and the maximum being 120 points a month.

The last 6 days I've been running it myself using the GHB bot, as good as the bot is I still can't make it lay and place lay the same selection all the time due to there being no way of linking the 2 markets.

Even with this small problem the last 6 days have produced these figures:

Number of Bets: 63

Profit:
Lay: £259.60
Place: £142.20
Total: £401.80

Points Profit:
Lay: 25.96
Place: 14.22
Total: 40.18

Hitrates:
Lay: 76.19%
Place: 53.97%

Average Odds:
Lay: 3.60
Place: 1.74

Staked:
Lay: 286.19
Place: 105.83

ROI %
Lay: 9.07%
Place: 13.44%

Obviously back dated results don't mean  it would work long term though the research is very promising as are the 6 days results which I'll continue to follow and record.

Friday, 24 September 2010

30 second decision

I haven't posted in a few days, not due to the lack of selections, quite the opposite, just having to find a work around for them as they are left to the last 30 seconds pre-race.

I could probably stick up a few in the morning based on odds, though the final selection depends on whether the horse is favourite and meets criteria, currently I'm trying automate it with GHB, already shortened the timing that it scans the markets. Before I had it set on 2 minutes, but if there was two close favourites and they managed to switch places in that 2 minutes then they'd both get layed, though dropping it to 30 secs seems to have fixed it somewhat.

I'll be back in a few days with another update, or back tomorrow with some selections if I can sort them out.

Monday, 20 September 2010

Time for a clear out.

Been noticing ever more these days the lack of people who post on their blogs from my blogroll, time to clear out the old and add some new interesting reads I think, I'll see what I can find later...

Friday, 17 September 2010

A football bet for tonight.

Bundesliga.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg over 2.5 goals @ 1.78

Just the one today

Sorry its right before the race starts!!

Ayr
14:10 Uptown Guy @ 3.25