Saturday 25 December 2010

Merry Christmas everybody!

You heard it here!

Hope you're all having a great day, lots presents, lots of mess and most of all lots of drink!
I hope the big man in red brought you everything you wished for and more...

Jay

Friday 3 December 2010

Stolen Snowman

Now if the snow has been getting people down, this woman from chatham should cheer you up no end.

http://www.kentonline.co.uk/kentonline/news/2010/december/3/999_caller_angers_police.aspx

Have a listen to the recording at the top of how the woman phones the police over her stolen snowman!

It's Classic!

Thursday 18 November 2010

Children In Need With The Geeks Plugathon

Just to let you know that GeeksToy.com are running a charity fundraiser for Children in Need.

Some excellent prizes up for grabs, including £250 cash and Betfair API subscription worth £2000.

In addition The Geek is running a charity plugathon, so if you're a sports / Betfair blogger / site owner and want to help raise money for good causes, check this out.

And finally, a new version of their top end trading product The Toy has been released this week. It contains some rather whizzy advanced charting & is well worth chechking out, especially in light of the recent announcement that it is to remain Free for at least 2011 as well!


GeeksToy - Probably the Best Betfair Trading Software in the world!

Monday 8 November 2010

Websites, Blogs, Horse Racing, Games & Inception!

Running a little behind schedule with the new site, but hopefully should be up within the next few days.

All the rebranding is ready to be launched across the main site, blog and twitter.
As you'll see the name of the blog has changed to A Man That Blogs.
It's part of a bigger picture that will become clear pretty soon.

Would have posted sooner but been busy playing Pro Evo Soccer 2011 Become A Legend mode and the new Football Manager 2011, Just got the lowly Ebbsfleet promoted in my first season.

Looking at the new releases I'll be pretty busy coming up to christmas, Call of Duty: Black Ops is out tomorrow, and those that I've spoke to know that I'm a huge Call of Duty fan. Then there is Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood which looks to die for!

Also anybody that hasn't seen Inception yet, I must insist you do go and see it, OMG that film blew my mind!
Don't think I've had to focus soo much since The Matrix came out.

Thursday 28 October 2010

Shortening Prices

I thought I'd have a look at something completely different today.
and try find some horses that I believe would cut their SP odds in half In-Running.

Clonmel
16:15 Cool Quest
16:45 The Flying Dustman

Fontwell
15:30 Ports War
          Oncle Kid

Lingfield
14:40 Venetius
          Santefisio
          Woodcote Place
          Caprio
15:10 Mosqueras Romance
15:40 Western Pearl
          Some Sunny Day

Straford
15:20 Runshan
          Peut Etre Sivola

Wolverhampton
17:20 Cape Royal
17:50 Island Legend
          Ridley Didley
          Silver Prelude
          Dream Number
18:50 Desert Recluse
20:20 Mackintosh
20:50 Active Asset

Just a few to follow

Saturday 23 October 2010

The new era..

I said changes were coming, and you'll start seeing them soon, starting with the overhaul of both this blog and my twitter which is @amanthatlays if anybody uses it.

Over the coming week the design of the blog will change to coincide with the new redesigned main website, twitter will also see the same graphical overhaul, leading up to the launch of the new site around the 10th November.

Currently the site is coming along fine, its mostly coding work thats needs to be done, the colour palette and design is virtually finished, time for all the back end stuff that will make it go like clockwork.

If anybody is familiar with vwar, you'll hopefully appreciate how I am modding it to record my results on the site, to be updated daily, instead of the monthly updated spreadsheet that could be downloaded. To get vwar working how I wanted it I've had to tinker with the coding and the admin side. but fingers crossed it should all go to plan!

Wednesday 20 October 2010

Milan - Tottenham, what a game!

It needed a post!

I was down the gym on the treadmill watching Tottenham get demolished in the first half.
Yet Gareth Bale's hattrick was superb, though You'd think Milan would have picked him up a bit more after the first goal, seeing as they all come from virtually the same place!!

Friday 15 October 2010

All the long nights..

All the long nights, all the spread sheets, all the race watching, the wait is nearly over, just finalising a few things and you'll see..

Yes I know I've not been around for a couple of weeks, but there is good reasons behind it which I will reveal very soon, I can't quite let the cat out of the bag just this second!

Though what I can say is I'm changing the way I run my tipster service, its been plodding along for months and months now, and its been more of a hobby, using my passion and my aquired knowledge to help others.

Though that will be changing over the next few weeks, and will be turned around more like a business, especially since going to uni fell through thanks to my tutor.

I now have the required hours in the day to put alot more into it than just hobby hours..
But don't worry I will come back to running this blog, but eventually it will be implemented into the bigger picture, along with getting my monthly subscriber newsletter back up and running and actually doing something with my twitter account, though that will need rebranding.

With my ongoing research from the 18 months I now believe I can consistantly produce profits from both backing and laying horses, and in the over/unders market for football, though football will come at a later date as I'm still collecting data and won't jump in head first to something I'm not 200% sure of.

AW racing is something that will come with more time as well, as I believe the AW is just glorified greyhound racing and it needs a different kind of horse analysis compared to anything over turf.

Also along side the changes I will actually try and write a proper blog, instead of what it has been...
no more literally just posting up times and names of horses, I'll try to actually write something engaging, and if anybody wants to bring a subject up for discussion then drop me a line and it can be discussed, argued, whatever, however...

Regards
Jay

Tuesday 28 September 2010

A Quick Lay

Laying Conduct in the 17:30 Newbury @ 2.74
Laying Miss Molly Be Rude 17:45 Sedgefield @ 4.8

Small Update

Well hehe is the update I promised, over the last 6 days I've been working on a system I created ages ago (and left on the shelf) and been tweaking since until I was happy I could pull a month from any year and it would produce profits.

I'm pretty sure it does that now, during the research I covered 18 months, between 2005 and 2010, no 2 months in a row. Just to make sure it wasn't something backfitted.


Over the last 18 months I've not found one losing month, with the mimimum profit being 30 points a month and the maximum being 120 points a month.

The last 6 days I've been running it myself using the GHB bot, as good as the bot is I still can't make it lay and place lay the same selection all the time due to there being no way of linking the 2 markets.

Even with this small problem the last 6 days have produced these figures:

Number of Bets: 63

Profit:
Lay: £259.60
Place: £142.20
Total: £401.80

Points Profit:
Lay: 25.96
Place: 14.22
Total: 40.18

Hitrates:
Lay: 76.19%
Place: 53.97%

Average Odds:
Lay: 3.60
Place: 1.74

Staked:
Lay: 286.19
Place: 105.83

ROI %
Lay: 9.07%
Place: 13.44%

Obviously back dated results don't mean  it would work long term though the research is very promising as are the 6 days results which I'll continue to follow and record.

Friday 24 September 2010

30 second decision

I haven't posted in a few days, not due to the lack of selections, quite the opposite, just having to find a work around for them as they are left to the last 30 seconds pre-race.

I could probably stick up a few in the morning based on odds, though the final selection depends on whether the horse is favourite and meets criteria, currently I'm trying automate it with GHB, already shortened the timing that it scans the markets. Before I had it set on 2 minutes, but if there was two close favourites and they managed to switch places in that 2 minutes then they'd both get layed, though dropping it to 30 secs seems to have fixed it somewhat.

I'll be back in a few days with another update, or back tomorrow with some selections if I can sort them out.

Monday 20 September 2010

Time for a clear out.

Been noticing ever more these days the lack of people who post on their blogs from my blogroll, time to clear out the old and add some new interesting reads I think, I'll see what I can find later...

Friday 17 September 2010

A football bet for tonight.

Bundesliga.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg over 2.5 goals @ 1.78

Just the one today

Sorry its right before the race starts!!

Ayr
14:10 Uptown Guy @ 3.25

Thursday 16 September 2010

Back to the horses today.

5 today, and nothing too intresting regarding football matches, though the only one I may have put money on was the Man City game.

Ayr   
15:20    Goldenveil
   
Pontefract   
15:00    Valerius Maximus
16:30    Ultimate Quest
   
Yarmouth   
15:10    Man Of God
16:10    Jibaal

Wednesday 15 September 2010

Another football bet..

Couldn't find much of interest in the horses today.
So just a football bet for today.

MK Dons vs Southampton over 2.5 goals @ 2

Though I'm gonna wait until later to see if I can improve on those odds.

Tuesday 14 September 2010

Just a couple of football bets today.

Sheffield United vs Scunthorpe - over 2.5 goals @ 2.18
Crystal Palace vs Portsmouth - over 2.5 goals @ 2.3

Edit:
Both winning bets with Scunthorpe making it 3-0 on the 73rd minute,
and Crystal Palace going 2-1 up on the 55th minute, 3-1 up on the 59th minute as I was typing this.

The easiest £23 pound I've made today!

Saturday 11 September 2010

9 today

Doncaster   
15:20    Rewilding
   
Goodwood   
16:05    Kathleen Frances
16:40    Yair Hill
17:15    Nationalism
   
Sandown   
17:05    Magic Jack
17:40    Calipatria
   
Kempton   
19:30    Najoum
   
Curragh   
14:40    Longhunter
15:45    San Frontieres

Friday 10 September 2010

14 today

 Doncaster  
14:40    Opinion Poll
15:15    White Moonstone
16:25    Frankel
  
Chester  
14:30    Captain Bertie
15:05    Hoot
15:40    Dazzle The Crowd
17:20    The Human League
  
Sandown  
14:15    Carrignavar
15:25    General Synod
  
Down Royal  
18:10    Myrine
  
Wolverhampton  
18:30    Baralaka
19:30    Makeynn
20:00    Fun Affair
20:30    Ayam Zainah

Thursday 9 September 2010

8 today

Doncaster   
15:45    Meeznah
   
Epsom   
14:25    Night Carnation
15:00    Escholido
   
Bath   
14:50    Perfect Note
   
Kempton   
17:45    True To Form
18:15    Buckland
18:45    Mujrayaat
19:15    Silver Ocean

Sunday 5 September 2010

12 today

York   
14:00    Common Touch
15:10    Sunnyside Tom
   
Worcester   
13:50    Frosted Grape
14:25    Pinerock
   
Fontwell   
13:40    Architrave
14:10    Sir Bumble
15:20    Makena
15:55    Call At Midnight
16:30    Moon Melody
17:30    Spe Salvi
   
Dundalk   
14:45    Factum
15:15    Warning Flag

Saturday 4 September 2010

10 today

Leopardstown   
17:35    Rock Critic
   
Haydock   
15:05    Kansai Spirit
16:45    Measuring Time
   
Kempton   
15:50    Darej
16:20    Tuscan Gold
   
Stratford   
14:50    Mam Ratagan
15:55    Marufo
17:30    Music In The Air
   
Thirsk   
13:55    Choose The Moment
17:40    Mutajare

Friday 3 September 2010

15 today

 Running a tad late!

Musselburgh   
14:10    Social Rhythm
16:10    Fox Hunt
16:40    Scrapper Smith
   
Lingfield   
13:50    Rocky Rebel
14:20    Winnie Dixie
15:50    Lost In The Moment
16:20    True To Form
   
Brighton   
14:30    Standout
15:00    Mnasikia
   
Kempton   
17:45    Glen Shiel
18:15    Splash Point
18:45    Busker
   
Kilbeggan   
17:35    Hesaposer
18:05    Substitute
19:35    Sainte Careigne

Thursday 2 September 2010

11 today

Salisbury       
14:10    General Synod   
14:40    Sylvestris   
17:30    La de Two   
       
Redcar       
14:30    Heartbreak   
16:15    Tsar Bomba   
17:20    Desert Hunter   
       
Wolverhampton       
18:50    Janet's Pearl   
19:20    Dirakh Shan   
       
Clonmel       
16:40    Echoes Of History   
18:10    Phantasy Rock   
19:40    Anderson Mcauley   

Wednesday 1 September 2010

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12 today

Lingfield
14:50 Palio Square
16:20 Gooseberry Bush
17:25 Immovable

Hereford
14:10 The Fox's Decree
15:40 Winter Star
16:40 One Of The Boys
17:10 Whereveryougoigo

Kempton
18:50 Ree's Rascal
19:20 Rosa Midnight
19:50 Sabatini
20:20 Bramshaw
20:50 Josr's Magic

Tuesday 31 August 2010

11 today

Ripon   
15:00    Normandy Maid
   
Leicester   
15:10    Ice Viking
   
Newton Abbot   
14:50    Benedict Spirit
15:20    Ballyvesey
16:55    Regain Du Charbonneau
   
Folkstone   
17:55    Apache Kid
18:25    Ransom Request
   
Southwell   
17:10    Golden Creek
17:40    Alensgrove
18:40    Sir Walter Raleigh
19:40    Art Machine

Monday 30 August 2010

Bank Holiday Selections

Ripon   
14:25    Infectious
15:00    Al Muthanaa
   
Wawick   
14:10    Kingarrick
15:55    Marie De Guise
16:30    Albeed
   
Newcastle   
14:15    The Bells O Peover
   
Bath   
15:15    Happy Today
15:50    Masaraat
   
Cartmel   
14:20    Frameit
14:55    Archie's Wish
15:30    Silmi
16:05    Bynack Mhor
   
Huntingdon   
17:25    Sarah's Gift
   
Downpatrick   
14:35    Blue Turk
15:10    Boragh Princess
15:40    Hail Caesar
16:10    Watermelon
17:45    Lillian's Secret
   
Galway   
16:55    Deorai
18:30    Address Unknown
19:00    Wee Giant
19:30    Clearwater Bay

Sunday 29 August 2010

5 today

Beverley   
14:55    Dortmund
16:05    Amoureuse
17:15    Akamon
   
Goodwood   
14:45    Pintura
   
Yarmouth   
16:20    Caramelita

Friday 27 August 2010

10 today

Thirsk
14:40 Ventura Sands

Ffos Las
15:40 Herculean
17:50 Lucaindubai

Newmarket
16:05 Plymouth Rock
16:35 Call To Reason

Bath
17:15 Yasmeena
17:45 Minikin
18:15 Stage Acclaim

Hamilton
18:35 Tamarillo Grove

Newcastle
19:55 African Wave

Thursday 26 August 2010

10 today

Ayr
14:10 So Is She
14:40 Volcanic Ash
16:10 Lady Bluesky

Ffos Las
14:20 Marzante

Lingfield
15:00 Fityaan
16:30 Lyric Poet

Cartmel
17:55 Petite Margot
18:25 Magical Legend
18:55 Stolen Light
20:00 Corso Palladio

Wednesday 25 August 2010

7 today

Brighton
14:30 Spennymoor - 1st
16:30 Colepepper - 1st
17:00 Angel Of Fashion - 4th
Ffos Las
17:20 Tara Warrior - 4th
Bangor
18:30 Mission Control - NR
19:00 Victory Surge - 1st
19:30 Dowd's Destiny - 3rd

Tuesday 24 August 2010

5 today


Yarmouth
15:00 Dux Scholar - 2nd
Sedgefield
14:15 My Jay Dee - 5th
14:45 San Deng - UR
15:15 Sadler's Star - 4th
Leicester
18:20 Senate - 1st

Monday 23 August 2010

2 today

Hamilton
16:00 Gadobout Dancer
17:05 Hurlingham
 

Sunday 22 August 2010

4 today

Newton Abbot
14:00 Scene Two - 2nd
14:30 Jump Up - 2nd

Folkestone
16:40 Ishraaqat - 4th

Musselburgh
15:20 Cat O' Nine Tails - 1st

Saturday 21 August 2010

12 today

Sandown
14:05 Decorative - 6th
14:35 Roayh - 4th
16:50 Jehanbux - 3rd

Chester
17:40 Rangefinder - 1st

Newton Abbot
15:50 Be Ashored - 1st
16:20 Indiana Gold - 3rd
17:30 Caheerloch - 1st

Perth
15:00 Makhaaleb - 6th
15:30 Emotive - 1st
16:00 Ormello - 3rd
16:35 Perez - 1st
17:10 Twelve Paces - 1st - odds too high, no bet

Friday 20 August 2010

3 today

Sandown
17:00 Brigadoon - 4th

Bangor
14:30 One Of The Boys - 3rd
16:15 Fealing Real - 7th

Thursday 19 August 2010

6 today

Epsom
17:10 Orchard Supreme - 4th
18:15 Dani's Girl - 4th

Fontwell
17:20 Supernoverre - 3rd
17:50 Cloonavery - 5th
19:30 Lords Bridge - PU
20:00 Castle Craigs - 8th

Monday 16 August 2010

1 today

Kempton
16:30 Count Of Tuscany - 5th

Sunday 15 August 2010

2 today

Southwell
14:50 Tigh Bhruadair - F
Bath
17:00 Vibrant Force - 2nd

Saturday 14 August 2010

12 this afternoon

Newbury
14:00 Janood - 1st
14:30 Sans Frontieres - 1st
15:05 Cat Junior - 2nd
15:40 Watch Amigo - 2nd
16:15 Hidden Fire - 5th

Newmarket
16:30 Balius - 2nd
17:05 Munsarim - 4th

Ripon
14:25 Emerald Glade - 1st
14:55 Malgoof - 4th
16:05 Akhmatova - 6th
16:40 Pelmanism - 1st

Doncaster
17:45 Mistoffelees - 1st

Thursday 12 August 2010

13 for this evening

Goodwood
16:55 Winters Night - 1st
17:25 Dubai Affair - 5th
18:30 Fanditha - 3rd
19:00 Kavachi - 1st
19:35 Botanist - 8th
20:05 Pose - 5th

Epsom
17:10 Micky P - 1st

Beverley
17:30 Just Timmy Marcus - 6th

Stratford
17:35 Black Annie - 1st
18:40 Quedillac - 3rd
19:45 Risk Challenge - UR
20:15 Rio Gael - 1st

Chepstow
19:25 Eastwell Smiles - 7th

8 this afternoon

Salisbury
15:05 Barq - 1st
15:40 Marie De Guise - 7th
16:15 Hearts Of Fire - 5th
16:50 Dualagi - 6th
Beverley
15:15 Midget - 6th
15:50 Rawnaq - 2nd
16:25 Mica Mika - 6th
Epsom
16:35 Fork Lightning - 1st

Wednesday 11 August 2010

8 this afternoon

Beverley
14:40 Grand Duchy - 2nd
Salisbury
15:00 Orientalist - 1st
15:35 Our Boy Barrington - 4th
Yarmouth
14:20 Maany - 3rd
14:50 Ivan's a Star - 4th
15:25 Sir Mozart - 1st
17:00 Wood Fair - 1st - Odds too high, no bet
17:35 Chicane - 4th

Monday 9 August 2010

6 today

Southwell
15:30 Star Twilight - 5th


Wolverhampton
15:45 Screenprint - 7th
17:45 Rare Coincidence - 9th

Thirsk
20:30 Mon Brav - 1st

Windsor
18:10 Fifth Commandment - 1st
20:10 Super Duplex - 1st

Sunday 8 August 2010

Where we are so far!

Since I started posting again on the 21st July.

We've made 18.65 points profit.
At at ROI of 6.25%

Jay

8 today

Leicester
15:20 Addictive Dream - 2nd
16:20 Gojeri - 1st

Windsor
15:30 Ishbelle - 1st
16:00 Seattle Speight - 3rd

Redcar
14:10 Pandoro De Lago - 2nd
14:40 Castlebury - 2nd
15:40 Tasmeem - 4th
16:10 Miami Gator - 3rd

Friday 6 August 2010

6 this afternoon

Brighton
14:30 Blue Zealot - 3rd
15:30 Timeteam - 2nd
16:00 Hand Painted - 5th
16:30 Maryolini - 1st
17:00 Louisiana Gift - 4th

Lingfield
17:40 Barliffey - 2nd

Thursday 5 August 2010

7 today

Haydock
14:40 Tallahasse - 1st
16:10 Activate - 5th

Yarmouth
15:20 Avonvalley - 3rd

Brighton
14:30 Rosedale - 4th
15:00 September Draw - 3rd
16:30 The Human League - 4th
17:00 Location - 4th

Wednesday 4 August 2010

4 this evening

Yarmouth
18:50 Big Boom - NR
19:20 Ancient Greece - 1st - but odds too high - no bet
19:50 Saggiatore - 2nd

Kempton
19:05 Miss Clairton - 5th

2 this afternoon

Pontefract
15:40 Red Cadeaux - 4th

Newcastle
16:20 Khajaaly - 4th

Tuesday 3 August 2010

Just the 1

Chepstow
16:45 Dubai Gem - 4th

Monday 2 August 2010

3 this evening

Carlisle
18:25 Just Timmy Marcus - 4th
20:25 Gulf Coast - 4th
20:55 Weetentherty - 4th

4 this afternoon

Newton Abbot
16:30 Spate River - PU
17:00 Quell The Storm - 1st
17:30 Nothing Is Forever - 1st

Ripon
16:15 Electioneer - 5th

Sunday 1 August 2010

9 today

Market Rasen
14:00 Hoar Frost - 4th
15:40 Space Telescope - 4th
16:15 Yellow Flag - 2nd
16:50 Rokinhorsescience - 1st

Newbury
14:10 Gallego - 2nd
16:30 Pipette - NR

Chester
14:55 Lokis Revenge - 5th
15:30 Our Jonathan - 7th
17:10 Dubai Bounty - 1st

Saturday 31 July 2010

Thursday 29 July 2010

6 this evening

Epsom
19:35 Mishrif - 4th
20:10 Mausin - 8th
20:40 Flouncing - 2nd

Musselburgh
18:20 Hurricane Thomas - 2nd
19:55 San Silvestro - 5th
20:30 Star Links - 2nd

5 this afternoon

Nottingham
14:35 Volito - 3rd
15:45 Spoken - 1st
16:55 Bonded - 6th

Stratford
16:40 Hereweareagain - 6th
17:15 Major Miller - 3rd

Monday 26 July 2010

6 this evening

Windsor
20:10 Pebblesonthebeach - 4th
20:40 On Knee - 1st

Uttoxeter
18:55 Intac - 1st
19:25 Calzaghe - 5th
19:55 Bynack Mhor - 4th
20:55 Chord - 11th

4 this afternoon

Yarmouth
14:15 Pocket's Pick - 6th
16:15 Caracal - 2nd
16:45 Fathsta - 3rd

Wolverhampton
16:00 Romantic Queen - 4th

Sunday 25 July 2010

Just a few more

Carlisle
15:35 Overrule - 6th

Pontefract
15:15 Holiday Cocktail - 2nd
15:50 Harrison George - 3rd
17:30 Mr Wolf - 1st

Ascot
16:00 Seeking The Buck - 2nd

Saturday 24 July 2010

A few lays today

Ascot
14:40 Sweet Cecily - 5th
15:15 Mass Rally - 4th
17:35 Valiant Knight - 2nd
 
Newmarket
15:20 Miss Zooter - 1st
 
York
14:30 Akhmatova - 2nd
15:05 Allybar - 3rd
 
Newcastle
14:55 Eland Ally - 5th
16:05 Primeeval - 10th

Wednesday 21 July 2010

15:50 Worcester

 So much for the relaunch, launched and been without net access since!!

But back so put the odd lay up again.

Laying Misamon @ 3.9 in the 15:50 Worcester

Backing Golden Square @ 10 in the same race.

Monday 21 June 2010

The re-launch has taken off!

The new website is finally upon us, bringing quite a few new features to the site/service.

Come along for the ride, join the newsletter, follow the daily bets of the day, comment on posts, or just banter in the forums.

For the site we’ll see the following:

– Horses To Follow
– Trends
– Bets Of The Day
– Forums
As for the service we’ll be seeing:

– Cheaper Monthly Subs
– Both a Backing and Laying service
And stuff to look out for real soon:

– Guest Posters
– Daily Subs
– Twitter feed

To fit in with the launch of the new user orientated site, I’m giving new members a 50% discounted one month introductory membership, priced at just £15, instead of our new lower price of £30.

Saturday 19 June 2010

5:20 Redcar

Who saw this race!?

Something I've not seen before, the 3 long shots finishing 1-2-3.

1st. Crianza @ 1000
2nd. Clare Harrier @ 800
3rd. Verluga @ 166

And even 4th placed was a BSP of 30.

Shocking, and great for anyone who had win or E/W bets on any of the first 3.

Jay

Just a few today!

Newmarket
15:20 Bougainvilia @ 3.95 - 9th
15:55 Racy @ 4.2 - 7th
16:30 Rutterkin @ 5.7 - 3rd

Redcar
14:55 Jeu De Roseau @ 3.5 - 5th
15:35 Tagseed @ 1.81 - 1st
16:10 Solstice @ 5.3 - 4th
17:20 Times Ahead @ 3.1

Ayr
15:00 Bewitched @ 3.2 - 3rd
15:30 Dirar @ 2.5 - 1st
16:40 Classlin @ 5.8 - 6th

Haydock
21:05 Step In Time @ 6.8


This is the last day of posting them all up, hopefully the new site will be up later tonight and it will change to a Bets of the day section.
Will include Lay, Back & E/W of the day.

Jay

Friday 18 June 2010

England - Shocking!

After another poor display by england it makes me & I'm sure others wonder why do we bother!?

On another note the last 2 days have been great for laying amassing £119 profit.

Or 11.9 points as I usually label it.

Jay

England England!

Today's Lays.

Musselburgh
15:35 Mr Lu @ 4.9 - 5th
16:10 Leslies Choice @ 5.2 - 4th

Redcar
14:45 Chain Of Events @ 3.65 - 1st
16:35 Atacama Sunrise @ 3.7 - 3rd

Ascot
15:05 Monerosso @ 4.9 - 1st

Goodwood
18:20 Formulation @ 2.7 - 3rd
19:25 Queens Envoy @ 3.45 - 2nd
20:30 Rajeh @ 5.3 - 7th

Newmarket
19:05 Saggiatore @ 2.7 - 2nd
19:35 Eywa @ 7.2 - 4th
20:10 Man Of Action @ 2.5 - 1st

Ayr
18:10 Cheeki Chilli @ 5.8 - 10th
19:15 Liteup My World @ 2.75 - 5th
19:45 Imperial Djay @ 3.05 - 2nd
20:20 Commanche Raider @ 3.5 - 6th
20:50 Los Nadis @ 6.2 - 3rd
21:20 Honoured @ 2.62 - 2nd

Jay

Thursday 17 June 2010

Evening Meets

6:50 Ffos Las - Lady Hillingdon @ 4.5 - 2nd
7:10 Leicester - Danceintothelight @ 5.9 - 3rd
7:20 Ffos Las - Bobble Hat Bob @ 4.7 - 2nd
7:30 Beverley - Hamish McGonagall @ 2.62 - 3rd
8:20 Ffos Las - One Cool Tornado @ 3.9 - 2nd
9:00 Beverley - Panama Jack @ 4.7 - 3rd
9:10 Leicester - Flowing Cape @ 4.0 - 3rd

Jay

Tuesday 15 June 2010

Royal Ascot or World Cup!?

4:40 Thirsk - Imperial Djay @ 2.88 - 1st
5:35 Ascot - Metropolitan Man @ 3.3 - 9th

Monday 14 June 2010

Evening Meets

6:55 Warwick - Good Morning Dubai @ 2.96 - 2nd
8:40 Windsor - Al Dafa @ 3.8 - 4th

Jay

One So Far

2:45 Carlisle - Cobo Bay @ 2.38 - 1st

Jay

Sunday 13 June 2010

Today's Lays

2:30 Salisbury - Present Alchemy @ 3.5 - 1st
2:40 Stratford - Foreign King @ 4.1 - 5th
3:40 Salisbury - Palace Moon @ 3.75 - 5th

Jay

Today's Lays

2:30 Salisbury - Present Alchemy @ 3.5
2:40 Stratford - Foreign King @ 4.1
3:40 Salisbury - Palace Moon @ 3.75

Jay

Thursday 10 June 2010

Evening Meets

Laying Forest Rhythm @ 3.05 in the 8:00 Fontwell. - 3rd
Hoof It Harry @ 3.75 in the 8:30 Fontwell. - 2nd
Aktia @ 3.7 in the 9:20 Haydock. - 1st

Jay

Motrice Motrice my baby..

Laying Motrice @ 1.88 in the 5:00 Yarmouth. - 1st

Monday 7 June 2010

Just not Sard's day?

Lays:
14:15 Folkestone - Sard @ 3.7 - 3rd
14:45 Folkestone - Matsunosuke @ 2.5 - 3rd
15:00 Newton Abbot - Lady Pilot @ 2.4 - 5th
16:15 Folkestone - Channel Crossing @ 3.7 - 7th

Jay

Sunday 6 June 2010

Todays Lays

14:40 Worcester - Pips Assertive Ways @ 3.5 - 5th
14:50 Southwell - Trojan Reef @ 4.0 - 2nd
15:00 Brighton - Mini Max @ 3.95 - 3rd
16:20 Southwell - Liteup My World @ 3.75 - 1st
16:30 Brighton - Aegean Shadow @ 3.7 - 1st
16:50 Southwell - Cardinal @ 5.0 - 3rd

Jay

Friday 4 June 2010

Results

Lays
1:30 Wolverhampton - Silvanus @ 3.7 - 2nd
2:25 Catterick - Chocolate Caramel @ 1.9 - 1st
3:00 Catterick - Verinco @ 3.25 - 4th
4:45 Catterick - North Central @ 3.5 - 2nd
5:15 Catterick - Divertimenti @ 5.0 - 2nd
5:25 Epsom - Al Farahidi @ 4.5 - 10th
6:15 Goodwood - Megalala @ 5.7 - 1st

Goodwood 6:15

Laying Megalala @ 5.7

Jay

Epsom 5:25

Laying Al Farahidi @ 4.5

Jay

Catterick 4:45

Laying North Central @ 3.5

Edit:
Lay Divertimenti @ 5.0 in the 5:15 Catterick

Jay

Catterick 2:15

I'll be laying Chocolate Caramel @ 1.9.

My own ratings give me Mister Fizzbomb and McEldowney as horses with more chance.
So small eachway bets on them.

Edit:
Lay verinco @ 3.25 in the 3:00 Catterick, with seemingly everything against, and I make it that the horse should have much higher odds.

Jay

The Derby Handicap

I'm laying Silvanus @ 3.7 in the 13:30 Wolverhampton race.

The horse came 5th in my own ratings, I'm happy to lay.

Jay

Thursday 3 June 2010

Caprio

I'll be laying Newbury Street @ 4.3 in th2 2:40 Hamilton.
While he has all the necessary form my own ratings show him 5 points behind Caprio.
Though Newbury doesnt have DSLR or Weight in favour, where as Caprio ticks all the boxes.

From the 5 horses Caprio is the only one who ticks all the boxes, and I think at 2.4 is well worth a punt.

My Ratings for the race were as followed:
Win
Caprio - 40.39
Newbury Street - 35.08
Cawdor - 19.05
Clear Ice - 8.11
Star Addition - 0.00

Place
Caprio - 73.28
Newbury Street - 52.81
Cawdor - 45.00
Clear Ice - 38.48
Star Addition - 25.82

*All Ratings are out of 100, and take into account, Distance, Going, Class, Track, Field Size, DSLR & Weight*

I'll be laying Souter Point @ 1.95 in the 2:30 Newton Abbot.
I've got him down at 54.11 for a place, but only 11.61 for the win, on that note I will gladly take the lay.

Here we have a horse, who has not run for nearly 7 weeks, and has never run the distance or won over a similiar distance, closest was a 2nd place over 2m 110y, coming in 5 lengths behind the winner.


Jay

Tuesday 1 June 2010

Just one so far.

I'll be opposing Red Gulch @ 3.75 in the 3:15 Leicester.
I believe there is higher calibre horses with better claims than Red Gulch.

Edit:
Going to lay Comedy Act @1.85 in the 3:45 Leicester too.
I think he is destined for further, and that Buona Sarah might just pip him here.

Artic Rose @ 2.8 in the 6:15 Yarmouth.
Edit: It was actually King of Cassis @ 2.8, though they both lost!

Grand Slam Hero @ 3.45 in the 8:35 Ffos Las.

Jay

Monday 31 May 2010

Judiciary

Judiciary was one of my horses on my watch list to oppose under certain conditions if the odds were right.
I had a brief look at the odds before I rushed out this morning, was trading around 4.6

Def worth a lay, and still one to oppose if the conditions are right.

Jay

Sunday 30 May 2010

Leaving it late

Well yesterday I realised I left out the time and track, it was the 20:10 @ Cartmel, where Thumbs Up actually won by 3/4 length to Mutual Friend.

Today I've gone with Lutine Bell @ 3.3 in the 17:50 Newmarket.
Having run 4 times, 3 times over 7f, all unplaced.
Once over 6f, finished 3rd over GF ground.

Jay

Saturday 29 May 2010

Just the one

Today's been an odd day with the weather, with the going softening throughout the day.


I've gone for Thumbs Up, Lay at @ 2.66
It was a tough call between Thumbs Up & Mutual Friend, though with Thumbs Up, only performed over soft ground, and I don't believe the ground has let up that much.

Jay

Friday 28 May 2010

Back to Laying

Start us off with one at Pontefract.

19:00 - Lady Luachmhar @ 3

Only one run over distance, coming in 6th, 4.1 lengths behind the winner.
Has managed two wins at 1m1f & 1m2f, both coming at lower class and over softer ground.

Jay

Tuesday 25 May 2010

25th May

I'll be moving these selections to a new blog soon, kinda takes away from the name of the blog when im posting up selections to back.

At some point soon this blog will revert back to Laying, and a new blog will emerge for backing a general stuff.

But until then todays selections are.
Ripon
14:40 - Joinedupwriting & Orpen Wide
15:10 - Music Of The Moor
15:40 - Off Chance
16:10 - Patavium
16:40 - Law To Himself
17:10 - Mark Anthony

Chepstow
14:50 - Acquaviva
15:20 - Lastkingofscotland
15:50 - Rapid City
16:20 - Silent Oasis
16:50 - Baltic Ben

Lingfield
15:00 - Illuminative
15:30 - Ravi River
16:30 - Batchworth Blaise
17:00 - Belle Park
17:30 - Great Bounder

Huntingdon
18:20 - Weet In Nerja
18:50 - Sarah's Gift
19:20 - Noble Request
19:50 - Blue Spartan
20:50 - Lyster

Hexham
18:35 - Mountskip
19:05 - Patriot
19:35 - Midnight Chase
20:05 - King Roonah
20:35 - The Kealshore Kid
21:05 - Flying Doctor

Jay

Saturday 22 May 2010

Hot Hot Hot!!

Yes you got it, its hot, It's a gorgeous day today, wish I was at the track instead of at the computer!

Selections for today.

Haydock
14:00 - Gomrath @ 4.8
14:30 - Balducci @ 5.5 & High Twelves @ 15.5
15:00 - Borderlescott @ 5 & Blue Jack @ 7

York
15:10 - Caracciola @ 18.5 & Munsef @ 6.6
15:40 - Johannes @ 9.2, Tabaret @ 18 & Ziggy Lee @ 5.7

Goodwood
14:15 - Rileyskeepingfaith @ 6 & Mac Gille Eoin
14:45 - Final Victory @ 7.2, Record Breaker @ 8.6 & Classic Vintage @ 5

22nd May - Temple Stakes

Not such a good afternoon yesterday with 1 winner, though I managed to pull a profit in the evening.

Today I thought I'd look at something a tad different on the side.

Most people know about the 2 million scoop6 this weekend, having rolled over.

I've decided to take a closer look at the Temples Stakes (15:00 Haydock)

Firstly I analyzed the race my own way, that gave me Borderlescott as my selection.

Though I thought I'd have a look at the trends from previous races and see what it came up with.

Findings:
11/13 won with no headgear
11/13 won with no headgear LTO
10/13 finished 4th or higher LTO
9/13 finished 3rd of higher LTO
11/13 won in Class 1 or 2 LTO
12/13 won with between 126 - 130 pounds
12/13 winners have been from GB or IRE
11/13 winners last run was within 30 days
13/13 winners has no carried penalty
12/13 have been between 3 - 7 years old


After taking all that info into account it gave me Blue Jack.

So after all that I'll be backing Borderlescott @ 5, and Blue Jack @ 7.

Regards
Jay

Friday 21 May 2010

21st May

 This afternoon meets and what I've backed them at.

Yarmouth
14:30 - Sairaam @ 11.5
15:00 - Amber Ridge @ 100
15:30 - Calormen @ 3.4
16:00 - Whiskey Junction @ 7.0
16:30 - Royal Premier @ 7.6
17:00 - Iceman George @ 6.6

Catterick
14:50 - Alphacino @ 13.5
15:50 - Green Park @ 8.8
16:20 - Alcalde @ 4.6
16:50 - Park's Prodigy @ 7.6
17:20 - Silvanus @ 9.8

Chepstow
15:10 - Tony The Tap @ 9.2
16:10 - Hollow Green @ 6.6
16:40 - Fly Silca Fly @ 7.6
17:10 - Effigy @ 5.4

Jay

Tuesday 18 May 2010

18th Evening

Well not a bad start to the day, 5 points up.

Towcester.
18:10 - Like Ice
18:40 - Cripsey Brook
19:10 - Jose Bove
19:40 - Mayor Of Kilcock
20:10 - Arceye
20:40 - Ruby Crown

Carlisle.
19:00 - Angel Of Fashion
19:30 - Celtic Change
20:00 - Joseph Henry
20:30 - Cornus

Jay

18th May

I'm back after spending sunday night with the gf, had a quick browse over todays meets and pulled out a few, most of them have odds of 10+ for now!

Nottingham.
14:00 - Itsthursdayalready
14:30 - Royal Exchange
15:00 - Watch Chain
15:30 - Rare Ruby
16:00 - Ice Diva
17:00 - Green For Luck

Musselburgh.
14:10 - Fremen
14:40 - Coolette
15:40 - Stellite
16:40 - Princess Charlmane AND Wicked Wilma AND Mandarin Spirit
17:10 - Khyber

Brighton.
14:20 - Mambo Spirit
15:20 - Prince Valentine
15:50 - Inspirina
16:50 - Maximus Aurelius

Jay

Saturday 15 May 2010

Evening Meets

Newmarket
17:10 - Purus

Bangor
17:45 - Ice Tea

Thirsk
17:00 - Jargelle
17:30 - Indian Trail

Uttoxeter
17:50 - Command Marshal
18:20 - Worth A King's
18:50 - Nono Le Sage
19:25 - Red Jester
19:55 - Tastes Like More
20:30 - Mylo

Doncaster
18:00 - Haljaferia
18:30 - Antoniola
19:35 - Transfixed
20:10 - Errigal Lad

15th May

Today I'm going to carry on analyzing how I have been but I'm going to take into account a few more angles to give me a better idea of each horse, we'll see how it goes, if the day is a big flop then we'll go back to how I was doing it before!

Newbury.
14:00 - Claremont AND Balkan Knight
14:30 - Aquarian Spirit AND Private Story
15:05 - Paco Boy AND Pipedreamer
15:40 - Baby Strange AND Coasting
16:15 - Universal Circus AND Shibhan


Jay

14th May - Round Up

Well another mediocre day, dropped 11 points.

14 dropped from backing, 3 made from laying.

The evening meets def did alot better than the afternoon meets producing most of the profits.

Ended the day with 6 winners:
Coasting @ 12
Angel's Pusuit @ 12
Flower Haven @ 3.9
Magic Echo @ 5.6
Corsica @ 5.4

And a further 8 placed:
Fifth Avenue @ 1.6
Purple Wood @ 1.62
Lidar @ 1.33
Forty Thirty @ 4.4
Lisadell King @ 1.7
Flying Doctor @ 1.7
Spring Breeze @ 1.95
Beckermet @ 3.4

Total profit since 8th May sits on 106 points up.

Jay

Friday 14 May 2010

Evening Meets

Updated as I go.

Aintree.
17:30 - Flower Haven - 1st
18:00 - Battlecry AND Western Gale - PU & 4th
18:30 - Lidar - 3rd
19:05 - Son Of Flicka AND Forty Thirty - 9th & 3rd
19:40 - Lisadell King - 2nd
20:15 - Flying Doctor AND Boyoboy - 2nd & 1st

Newcastle.
18:10 - Meandmyshadow - 3rd
19:15 - Magic Echo - 1st
19:50 - Spring Breeze - 2nd
20:25 - Kiwi Bay AND Beckermet - 7th & 3rd
20:55 - Dispol Kylie AND Miss Daawe - 3rd & 4th

Hamilton.
18:50 - Ballodair AND Whispered Times - 5th & 4th
19:25 - Corsica AND Take It To The Max - 1st & 3rd
20:00 - Uvinca - 7th
21:05 - Bo McGinty - 5th

Jay

14th May

Again I've only done the afternoon meets, will do the evening one during the day.

York.
13:40 - Fifth Avenue AND Turn The Tide
14:10 - Drill Sergeant AND Dansili Dancer
14:40 - Purple Wood AND Nanton
15:10 - Hawafa
15:45 - Dispol Keasha
16:20 - Enderby Spirit AND Nota Bene
16:55 - Dancing Dude

Newmarket.
14:30 - Kensei
15:00 - Di Stefano
15:35 - Coasting AND Santefisio
16:45 - Ramona Chase
17:20 - Ocean Blaze

Newbury.
14:20 - Angel's Pursuit AND Corporal Maddox
14:55 - Myplacelater
17:10 - Folio AND Hatch A Plan AND Shy
17:40 - Saborido


And 2 lays in the form of..
Newbury.
14:20 - Society Rock
17:40 - Carr Hall


Jay

Thursday 13 May 2010

13th May - Dropped 12 points.

4 winners, 14 placed, shame a couple didn't go that little bit further, would haev been a much better day!

Winners with Sariska @ 1.95, Hearthstead Dream @ 6.2, Delightful Cliche @ 5.5 and Quadrille @ 3.2

And the stand out placers were River Falcon @ 3.2, Tabaret @ 6, Smugglers Bay @ 5.6, Athoss @ 4.2, Cityar @ 3.95 & Diamond Duchess @ 3.8

Onto tomorrow now!

Jay

Evening Meets

I'll update this as I'm analyzing each race.

Ludlow
17:25 - Risk Challenge AND Trew Style
17:55 - Fidelis AND Gratification
18:30 - Boychuk AND Winsley Hill
19:05 - Whataboutya
19:40 - Magical Legend AND Toby Belch
20:10 - Oursininlaw
20:40 - Cityar

Folkestone
17:35 - Delightful Cliche
19:50 - Honourable Spider AND Blaze Ahead
20:20 - Predateur

Newmarket
18:15 - Diamond Duchess
19:25 - Anice Stellato AND Baylini
20:00 - Quadrille
20:30 - Black Baccara AND Athwaab


Jay

13th May

I've only done the afternoon meets, will go over the evening meets during the day if I get time.

York.
13:40 - River Falcon AND Tabaret
14:10 - Sariska
14:40 - Coordinated Cut
15:10 - Dream Lodge AND Extraterrestrial
15:45 - Fratellino AND Midnight Martini
16:55 - Mudawin AND Smugglers Bay

Salisbury.
15:35 - Scorn
16:45 - Fawley Green
17:15 - Takitwo AND Super Frank

Perth.
14:20 - Baileys Encore
14:50 - Athoss AND Devil Water
16:00 - Kells Castle AND Catch The Perk
16:35 - Hearthstead Dream AND Los Nadis
17:40 - Forcefield


Jay

Wednesday 12 May 2010

Final Results - 41 points profit again.

Finished the day with a healthy 41 points profit.
25 points from backing winners.
16 points from backing the place.

Winners in the form of:
York
16:20 - Bahceli @ 3.05

Exeter
14:20 - Nomad @ 4.8

Perth
17:50 - Smuglin @ 3.1
18:20 - Solis @ 6.0
18:50 - Solway Bay @ 19.0
20:20 - Seeyaaj @ 12.0

Bath
20:00 - Mejd @ 7.6
20:30 - White Shift @ 16.0

Then had:
2nd - 6 horses
3rd - 7 horses
4th - 6 horses
5th - 1 horse
6th - 2 horses
7th - 1 horse
8th - 1 horse
9th - 1 horse
10th+ - 9 horses

The day didn't start off too well with only 2 winners from 16 races.
Though this evening more than made up for it with 6 winners from 12 races.

There was 2 lays, unfortunately they both went onto win, and I had a lay myself during the day which lost at 2.22.

Total Profit is sitting on 129 points since 8th May.

Jay

Afternoon Update

Well I can't really say I've done well unless you've placed them all.

So far we've had:
1st: 2
2nd: 6
3rd: 5
4th: 3
5th or higher: 7

Got a few high odds horses for Perth and Bath, lets home a couple of them can join the winners we've had so far.

Jay

12th May - Results

I'll update this one through out the day as the results come in through out the day.

Backing.
York.
13:40 - Changing The Guard AND Tartan Gunna - 6th & 3rd
14:10 - Treadwell - 2nd
14:40 - Pink Symphony - 4th
15:10 - Sayif AND Showcasing - 9th & 2nd
15:45 - Aleatricis AND Veloso - 10th & NR
16:20 - Bahceli - 1st
16:55 - Rigidity AND Contract Caterer - 2nd & 3rd

Fontwell.
13:55 - Space Cowboy - 2nd
15:00 - Siouxme - 3rd
15:35 - Elusive Dream - 3rd
16:10 - Kijvu AND Bolton Hall - 4th & 2nd
16:45 - King Diamond - PU

Exeter.
14:10 - Paradise Regained AND Nomad - 11th & 1st
14:50 - Ocean du Moulin AND Nearly A Breeze - 4th & 11th
15:20 - Terrible Tenant - 3rd
16:30 - Remember Bampi AND Bollitree Bob - PU & 2nd

Perth.
17:50 - Smuglin - 1st
18:20 - Solis - 1st
18:50 - Solway Bay AND Ziggy Zen - 1st & PU
19:20 - Soubriquet AND Regent's Secret AND Longdale - 8th & 3th & 6th
19:50 - Apache Country AND Pegasus Prince - 10th & 3rd
20:20 - Tranos AND Seeyaaj - PU & 1st
20:50 - Baileys Encore AND Grand Union - ? & NR

Bath.
18:00 - Stamford Blue - 3rd
19:00 - Party Palace - 7th
19:30 - Magroom AND Apex - 4th & 5th
20:00 - Mejd AND Lago Indiano - 1st & 4th
20:30 - White Shift AND Matterofact - 1st & 4th

Jay

12th May

A tad tired, so I've only brushed over each race briefly, managed to pull out a horse or two in near enough every race, and managed a couple of favorites to lay.

I've tried to analyze each race as well as possible, though obviously I haven't taken as much time with each meet as I did yesterday with Yarmouth, which produced 3 winners and 2 close 2nds.

Backing.
York.
13:40 - Changing The Guard AND Tartan Gunna
14:10 - Treadwell
14:40 - Pink Symphony
15:10 - Sayif AND Showcasing
15:45 - Aleatricis AND Veloso
16:20 - Bahceli
16:55 - Rigidity AND Contract Caterer

Fontwell.
13:55 - Space Cowboy
15:00 - Siouxme
15:35 - Elusive Dream
16:10 - Kijvu AND Bolton Hall
16:45 - King Diamond

Exeter.
14:10 - Paradise Regained AND Nomad
14:50 - Ocean du Moulin AND Nearly A Breeze
15:20 - Terrible Tenant
16:30 - Remember Bampi AND Bollitree Bob

Perth.
17:50 - Smuglin
18:20 - Solis
18:50 - Solway Bay AND Ziggy Zen
19:20 - Soubriquet AND Regent's Secret AND Longdale
19:50 - Apache Country AND Pegasus Prince
20:20 - Tranos AND Seeyaaj
20:50 - Baileys Encore AND Grand Union

Bath.
18:00 - Stamford Blue
19:00 - Party Palace
19:30 - Magroom AND Apex
20:00 - Mejd AND Lago Indiano
20:30 - White Shift AND Matterofact

I've got my odds taken at the time, I'll add them in after final results.

And a couple of Lays for you.

Fontwell 13:55 - Lord Gunnerslake @ 2.71
Perth 19:20 - Beidh Tine Anseo @ 1.98


45 points stakes not including the lays, most of the selections are 5-1 or higher, so only need a few in to bring in the profit, worst case is they all lose and my 87 points profit drops to 42 points profit for the week!

Jay

Tuesday 11 May 2010

11th May - 41 points profit

Another good day with Royal Premier coming in at a nice 40-1 shot.

3 winners on the day with Sharp Sovereign @ 4.9, Capable Guest @ 8.4 and Royal Premier @ 40.0.

Followed up with two 2nd placed horses in the form of Bajon Bullet @ 14.0 and Bold Ring @ 4.4.

The rest as follows:
Mudhish @ 18.0 - 8th
Darcey @ 19.0 - 12th
Maximus Aurelius @ 20.0 - 3rd
Annambo @ 9.8 - 6th
Ultmate Guest @ 4.9 - 3rd

40 points profit.

And a point profit on my low lay of Lost in Paris, who came 3rd.

Total running profit this week - 87 points.
I'm sure its a ROI of over 100% but i'd have to check to make sure.

Jay

11th May - Yarmouth

I won't be giving my reasons for these ones, purely because its late and I want sleep!

Backing

Yarmouth.
13:50 - Bajan Bullet
14:50 - Mudhish AND Darcey
15:20 - Bold Ring
16:20 - Maximus Aurelius AND Sharp Sovereign
16:50 - Annambo AND Capable Guest
17:20 - Royal Premier AND Ultimate Guest

And a little lay.
Warwick 15:10 - Lost in Paris - Laid at 1.76

Jay

Monday 10 May 2010

Backing a Longshot

How hard do people find it to back the winner, let alone a longshot, odds on horses don't count!
Over the past few days I've been thinking this, how often do longshot winners come around and how do we go about spotting them, I know I managed to place one at 20-1 the other day, finished 3rd, odds to win were 150-1.

20-1 shots give you the impression they would win once in 20 races, or you would win 1 in 20, but surely there is a way to spot these horses before they drift in, before the market starts chucking money at them.

Afterall, the odds compilers are good, but they don't get everything correct.
Which lead me onto another thought, the ultimate trophy for any punter is to get banned or have your account closed at the bookies, a good old bit of bookie bashing.

Now that I've finished college I'm going to focus a lil bit more on backing, I'll start off on Betfair, but will move onto the bookies and see how long it takes to get an account closed, this may come down to quite a bit trial an error to start with, where as I've always layed horses, surely if I can find the least likely to win then I can find the least likely to lose too...no?

I'm planning to study the form for tomorrow's races and I'll place them on my blog tonight or tomorrow morning and at what odds I've backed them, and like I said in my previous post I will try give my reasoning behind each one.

And we'll see where I end up.

Jay

Sunday 9 May 2010

JP's Blog - :-(

Hello people,

For a long time I've followed Jp's Blog with interest, as he gives a great insight into the ups & downs of making it as a punter and how tipsters/services work.

It's a shame he has hit this poor run and given up the blog for now, though me like many others, hope he comes back fighting after a "quick" reassessment of where to head next.

Like he has proved other the last year, it is possible to make a living from it, though I always believe why pay all that money otu if you have the time to do it yourself?

Maybe JP doesn't have the time and he goes on the say so of his tipsters, but if somebody has a general knowledge of racing then all the information you need is on the net, just need to know where to look.

On another note, I've always done laying, spent months trying to tweak a maths formula until I had that eureaka moment! though now I have a bit more free time and would like to try my hand at backing horses.
Like i said the info is on the net, but unlike the last few days, I'm not just gonna put up the ones I've gone for, I will actually give my findings and reasoning behind each selection.

Look at something a bit more indepth than just a name, possible look at trainer trends, jockeys stats etc.

I'm came across a horse the other day, had all the form over distance/going, but I didn't back him, and he duly came 9th.

This horse was Elkhorn, def one to back if he come up at Redcar.
Form at Redcar, over 5/6f, Good or Good-to-Firm going, Class E or lower.
Form reads: 11152263

Form at any other course doesn't come nowhere near!

Regards
Jay

9th May - 19 points profit yesterday.

I woke up a tad late this morning, so here we go!

Worcester 16:20
Flake 1/2 @ 32, 1/2 place @ 9.4 - 9th
Battlecry @ 14.5 - PU

Uttoxeter 16:30
Alexanderthegreat @ 9.2

Plumpton 16:40
Monash Lad 1/2 @ 48, 1/2 place @ 8.4 - 7th
Thehonourablelady @ 9.2 - 4th

Worcester 16:50
Thomas Wild @ 3.75 - 3rd

Uttoxeter 17:00
Tsarinova @ 9.2
Pure Anticipation @ 25 - 1st

Worcester 17:20
Islamouth @ 7.6 - 2nd
Thecircleoftrust @ 13.5 - 1st

27 pts profit if you take into account my 2 winners this morning that made 1/2 a point! lol
46 pts in total.

Jay

Saturday 8 May 2010

Victoria Cup

15:25 Ascot.
I've had a quick skip over the market, didn't really have time to analyze all 29 horses individually, though have managed to pull out 3 that's I'm willing to put some loose change on.

I've gone for Advanced @ 30.0, Dunelight @ 29.0 and Golden Desert @ 65.0.

And a quick skim over the 15:35 at Haydock.
Gone for Arcalis @ 14.0, Noble Request @ 16.0 and Ellersie Tom @ 46.0

I had a closer look at the 2 markets I put up yesterday, came up with the same selections, but also the winners, but hey, hindsights a bitch and it means nothing now!

I'll put up a couple later if I can pull myself away from my college work that is due monday!

And the Leeds promotion winning game against Bristol Rovers.

I'll just edit this post and add each race as I go along.

Haydock 16:10
Bluegun @ 7.8 - 3rd
Cool Friend @ 3.5 - 2nd

Lingfield 16:20
Super Collidor @ 2.16 - 3rd

Hexham 16:25
Livingonaknifeedge @ 18.0 - 4th
Just For Men @ 7.0 - 5th

Haydock 16:45
Prime Defender @ 4.0 - 1st

Lingfield 16:55
Transfixed to place @ 20.0 - 3rd - woot!

Haydock 17:20
Sam Sharp @ 3 - 7th

Warwick 17:50
Not My Choice @ 13.5 - 13th
Namu @ 9.2 - 5th

Thirsk 18:05
Maison Dieu to place @ 21 - 12th
Rothesay Dancer @ 5.5 - 4th

Thirsk 18:35
Wyatt Earp @ 21 - 12th
Mr Wolf @ 7.4 - 14th

Warwick 18:50
My Mate Max @ 3.55 - 1st

Thirsk 19:05
Follow The Flag @ 13.5 - 5th
Destinys Dream @ 4.8 - 1st

Warwick 19:20
Warling @ 9.8 - 1st

Thirsk 19:35
Tanforan @ 44 - 14th
Wovoka @ 20 - 10th

Warwick 19:50
Satwa Laird @ 6.2 - 6th

Thirsk 20:05
Taste The Victory @ 4.8 - 3rd

Warwick 20:20
Pintura @ 6.4 - 8th

Thirsk 20:35
Sairaam @ 9 - 1st
Kheskianto @ 25

Ended the day up 19 points, few races earlier this afternoon not recorded on here, a few losses and a winner with Bullet Train @ 4.0

Jay

Friday 7 May 2010

19:50 & 20:50 Hamilton

Was a tad dissapointed Otto turned out not to run yesterday, he looked rather promising.

Today I've gone for Wind Shuffle in the 19:50 at Hamilton.
He has all the form over current CD, Silver Rime looked like a possible contender but being a NR soon sorted that out!

And I'm also going for  Guest Connections in the 20:50, winning 3 times from 5, one of them wins coming from a class up, he came 8th  in a race 2 classes higher, but only finished just under 4f off the winner.

Backed Wind Shuffle @ 9.0
and Guest Connections @ 9.6

Regards
Jay

Thursday 6 May 2010

7:20 Wetherby

Well lets start by saying the accum last night didnt go too well at all!
Though I've more than made it up today with a couple of high prices winners.

Thought I'd post one up for you quick.

7:20 Wetherby.
I've gone for both Silver Steel and Schinken Otto.
Otto has won all 4 trips over CD.

Backed Silver steel at 7.0 and Otto at 10.0 on the exchange.

Just have to wait and see now.

Regards
Jay

Wednesday 5 May 2010

Accum

17:20 17:55 18:30 19:40 20:10
Kaybeew Diablo High Jack Thai Vango Mon Michel


Kercabellec Roseneath

Huntingdon, all 5 correct races correct gives 3707 - 1.
Jay

Afternoon

Hello People, I've been a bit scarce last week or 2 due to my final weeks at college!
Though I will update everything soon.

Been working on a backing system as well in my spare time, though details are still very brief and written down on scraps of paper as I try to work different bits out!

Though it has pulled up 2 selections for today which I'll keep an eye on later.

Both at Cheltenham.
17:35 Farmer Frank
18:45 William Somers

And yes the system is only going to be focused on Favourites.

EDIT: Well Seems I misjudged that one, though Barron Watlass did Place at 3.0
And a quick analyzing of the 14:35 at Kelso lead me to Barron Watlass, I myself can't see Beidh Tine Anseo winning it.

Chester 14:45. Mamlock for the Win, Tastahil for a Place

Well that one was much better, Mamlock & Tastahil photofinish!
Luckily Mamlock won @ 9.1 and Tastahil placed at 6.4.

Now I'm focusing on a couple of accumulators at Huntingdon & Cheltenham.
Will put selections in a new post.

Regards
Jay

Wednesday 21 April 2010

2010 P/L So far - 397.27 pts profit.

Hello Guys.

After seeing a lot of people record dreadful aprils and a not much better start of the year, It got me thinking about my own results, had a look through my own spreadsheets and worked out my own P/L based on service/month.

Here's what I found.

As most people who have passed through my blog or follow it know, I generally only Lay horses.
With the exception of the Jay's Select Place. That is backing exactly same selections from my Jay's Select to place.

And the Power Of 3 is a stand alone system I'm working on myself for people who prefer to feel they have more of a say it what horses to lay.

Jay

Day 12 - Write Up

Day 12 - Write Up

Test 2 making 2.85 pts.

Und 10 making 10.45 pts.
Ove 10 making 6.65 pts.
Jay Sel making 3.97 pts.

Accumlated: From 9th April
Test 2: 0.66 pts.

From 11th April - Rest of results can be found on the website.
Und 10: 4.70 pts.
Ove 10: 24.85 pts.
Jay Sel: 26.11 pts.

Jay

Tuesday 20 April 2010

Day 8, 9, 10 & 11 - Write Up

Day 8, 9, 10 & 11 - Write Up

Test 1 has been appalling, considering it comes as a highly regarded system by multiple sources, the 25 pts loss it incurred was over a 2 day period. Based on the fact it's a laying system with not many daily selections It's going to take awhile to get the profits back up all going well and not hitting another winner.

Test 2 is something I'm working on and is still being tweaked, so I will keep it up.

www.amanthatlays.com
Jay@amanthatlays.com

From the 3 services I run, The Under 10's has hit a stale patch, it's neither making profit not losing points atm.

The Over 10's went through a similiar stale period a few weeks back but has come out unscathed and is back on the up.

Jay's Select has been the best performer so far especially after I finished my research into my own selections.

From Laying the selections as originally intended it has produced 100.8 pts profit since Jan 6th, with an 83.31% Hitrate and a 6.15% ROI.

Now heres the interesting part, for awhile now I've been placing the same selections from the Jay's Select and that shows an amazing 154.89 pts profit since Jan 6th, with an 48.85% Hitrate and an 18.22% ROI.

Giving me a very nice 255.69 pts profit alone from my Jay's Select service.
The P/L from placing them selections isn't on the website yet as I've only just finished backdating all my previous selections.

Test 1 making -25.65 pts.
Test 2 making -5.50 pts.

Und 10 making -10.55 pts.
Ove 10 making 15.50 pts.
Jay Sel making 24.14 pts.

Accumlated: From 9th April
Test 1: -19.75 pts.
Test 2: -2.42 pts.

From 11th April - Rest of results can be found on the website.
Und 10: -5.75 pts.
Ove 10: 18.20 pts.
Jay Sel: 22.14 pts.

Jay

Friday 16 April 2010

Day 8 Selections

Day 8 Selections:

All to be laid 7.0 or less, 5 mins before the off.

Test 1.
Ayr 14:50 Federstar
Ayr 17:10 Ramsden Boy
Kempton 19:00 Resentful Angel
Thirsk 15:05 Academy Blues
Thirsk 17:20 Raimond Ridge


Test 2.
Cheltenham 19:50 Optimus Maximus
Dundalk 20:25 Secretariat's Soul
Dundalk 20:55 Space Race
Dundalk 21:25 Captain James Cook
Kempton 19:30 Love Match
Kempton 20:30 Avertor
Newbury 14:10 Bowmaker
Newbury 14:40 Cheveton
Newbury 16:55 Sweetheart
Thirsk 15:40 Jutland
Thirsk 16:15 Hawkeyethenoo
Thirsk 17:20 Milton Of Campsie
Uttoxeter 18:35 Oberon Moon
Uttoxeter 19:40 Shammy Buskins


Jay

Thursday 15 April 2010

Day 7 - Write Up

Day 7 - Write Up

Test 1 making 0.95 pts.
Test 2 making 2.23 pts.

Und 10 making 0 pts.
Ove 10 making 0 pts.
Jay Sel making 0.35 pts.

Accumlated: From 9th April
Test 1: 5.90 pts.
Test 2: 3.08 pts.

From 11th April - Rest of results can be found on the website.
Und 10: 4.80 pts.
Ove 10: 2.70 pts.
Jay Sel: -2.00 pts.

Jay

Day 7 Selections

Day 7 Selections:

All to be laid 7.0 or less, 5 mins before the off.

Test 1.
Kempton 20:40 Final Drive
Ripon 17:25 La Capriosa
Tipperary 19:00 Regal Obligation


Test 2.
Cheltenham 17:05 Line Freedom
Cheltenham 17:45 Desolait
Newmarket 15:00 Able Master
Newmarket 15:35 Markazzi
Newmarket 16:45 Nimue
Newmarket 17:20 Official Style
Ripon 15:10 Almiqdaad
Tipperary 17:30 Ask Jack
Tipperary 18:30 The Bull Hayes


Jay

Day 6 - Write Up

Day 6 - Write Up

Test 1 making -0.75 pts.
Test 2 making -3.23 pts.

Und 10 making 2.45 pts.
Ove 10 making 0.95 pts.
Jay Sel making -4.35 pts.

Accumlated: From 9th April
Test 1: 4.95 pts.
Test 2: 0.85 pts.

From 11th April - Rest of results can be found on the website.
Und 10: 4.80 pts.
Ove 10: 2.70 pts.
Jay Sel: -2.35 pts.

Jay

Wednesday 14 April 2010

Day 6 Selections

Day 6 Selections:

All to be laid 7.0 or less, 5 mins before the off.

Test 1.
Cheltenham 14:45 Burren Legend
Cheltenham 15:20 Lord Ragnar
Gowran Park 16:05 Carlowsantana
Kempton 17:35 Fuzzy Cat
Kempton 19:35 Hip Hip Hooray


Test 2.
Beverly 16:20 I'm Super Too
Cheltenham 17:05 Just Amazing
Gowran Park 16:40 Bob Will Fix It
Kempton 18:35 Ipswich Lad
Kempton 19:35 Cadeaux Fax
Newmarket 13:50 Esaar
Newmarket 15:00 Longliner
Newmarket 15:35 Quadrille
Newmarket 16:10 Safina
Newmarket 17:55 Pastoral Player



Jay

Tuesday 13 April 2010

Day 5 - Write Up

Day 5 - Write Up

Test 1 making 1.90 pts.
Test 2 making 1.21 pts.

Und 10 making 0 pts.
Ove 10 making -4.90 pts.
Jay Sel making 1.90 pts.

Accumlated: From 9th April
Test 1: 5.70 pts.
Test 2: 4.08 pts.

From 11th April - Rest of results can be found on the website.
Und 10: 2.35 pts.
Ove 10: 1.75 pts.
Jay Sel: 2.00 pts.

Jay

Day 5 Selections

Day 5 Selections:

All to be laid 7.0 or less, 5 mins before the off.

Test 1.
Limerick 18:55 Little Arrows
Pontefract 17:20 Mission Impossible
Yarmouth 16:30 Raptor

Test 2.
Exeter 15:40 Cullahill
Exeter 16:10 The Factor
Exeter 17:40 Midnight Prayer
Limerick 17:55 Connyella
Limerick 18:55 Hawkhill
Limerick 19:25 Bay Swallow
Pontefract 16:20 Shadows Lengthen
Pontefract 17:50 Nightcruise
Yarmouth 14:30 Athenian Garden
Yarmouth 15:00 Imjin River
Yarmouth 17:00 Any Given Moment


Jay

Monday 12 April 2010

Day 4 - Write Up

Day 4 - Write Up

Test 1 making 0.95 pts.
Test 2 making 0.95 pts.

Und 10 making 0 pts.
Ove 10 making 0 pts.
Jay Sel making -3.20 pts.

Accumlated: From 9th April
Test 1: 3.80 pts.
Test 2: 2.87 pts.

From 11th April - Rest of results can be found on the website.
Und 10: 2.35 pts.
Ove 10: 6.65 pts.
Jay Sel: 0.10 pts.

Jay

Day 4 Selections

Day 4 Selections:

All to be laid 7.0 or less, 5 mins before the off.

Test 1.
Folkstone 15:00 Quasi Congaree
Windsor 15:50 Luscivious


Test 2.
Folkstone 14:30 Flouncing
Folkstone 15:00 Ken's Girl
Folkstone 16:00 Mountrath


Jay

Sunday 11 April 2010

Day 3 - Write Up

I'll start adding in my service results from today.

Test 1 making 0.95 pts.
Test 2 making 2.85 pts.

Und 10 making 2.35 pts.
Ove 10 making 6.65 pts.
Jay Sel making 3.30 pts.

Accumlated: From 9th April
Test 1: 2.85 pts.
Test 2: 1.92 pts.

From 11th April - Rest of results can be found on the website.
Und 10: 2.35 pts.
Ove 10: 6.65 pts.
Jay Sel: 3.30 pts.

Jay

Day 3

Test 1 making 0.95 pts.
Test 2 making -1.30 pts.

Accumlated:
Test 1: 1.90 pts.
Test 2: -0.93 pts


Day 3 Selections:

All to be laid 7.0 or less, 5 mins before the off.

Test 1.
Curragh 15:15 Celtic Soprano
Kelso 14:50 St Killian's Run
Kelso 15:50 Drever Route
Southwell 16:40 Alfloramoor



Test 2.
Curragh 15:15 Harrington
Curragh 15:45 Rayeni
Curragh 16:15 Gan Amhras
Curragh 17:15 Is Feidir Linn
Limerick 17:25 Rock On Chicago


Jay

Saturday 10 April 2010

Day 2

Day 1 got off to a profitable start.

Test 1 making 0.95 pts.
Test 2 making 0.39 pts.


Day 2 Selections:

All to be laid 7.0 or less, 5 mins before the off.

Test 1.
Chepstow 14:30 Chinara
Lingfield 14:45 Cashpoint
Lingfield 17:45 Musashi
Wolverhampton 21:00 King's Masque


Test 2.
Aintree 14:15 Tataniano
Lingfield 14:45 Tinaar
Lingfield 15:50 Katy's Secret
Wolverhampton 20:30 High Importance

Jay

Friday 9 April 2010

9th April - Day 1

Here are the selections I promised.

All Selections to be layed no higher than 7.0 on the exchange.
**Note: this is first live test, paper trade first**

Test 1

Dundalk 20:00 Saint By Day
Wolverhampton 18:45 Beat The Bell
Wolverhampton 19:15 Nayessence

Test 2

Dundalk 18:30 Lingapour
Dundalk 20:30 Bay Knight
Dundalk 21:25 Keraloun
Kempton 15:00 Luther
Kempton 17:20 Trojan Reef
Musselburgh 15:25 Grissom
Musselburgh 16:35 Goliaths Boy
Musselburgh 16:35 Ansells Pride
Musselburgh 17:10 High Office
Wolverhampton 18:15 Dimaire
Wolverhampton 20:15 Firetrap


Regards
Jay

Thursday 8 April 2010

I'm back!

Hello Everybody,

As you all know I've been away without a peep!
Though I've spoken to a few of you on msn.

I Have been really busy with the running of amanthatlays.com, along with college work and trying to put my portfolio together for job interview.

Not to forget I've fried my graphics cards and am posting from a laptop!

----------------

Though back to the point, when I first started this blog I used to post my selections up for you all to following, and it has come to that time again, I've been hard at work researching again! and have just entered the live testing phase of my new selections.

I will post these up nightly with a write up and running total like before.

Regards
Jay